시·군 통합의 지역경제성장 효과

초록

The purposes of this study are to examine first, whether city-county consolidation has had the effects of regional economic growth compared to non consolidated region which had been tried to consolidate, and second, which factors has affected the consolidated regions‘ economic growth. To achieve the purposes, this study compared regional economic growth effects between consolidated regions and non-consolidated regions using the proportion of basic industry employment produced through economic base model and the projected employment growth rates produced through shift-share analysis. And then, this study analysed the determinants of the consolidated regions’ economic growth effects using factor analysis. The results of the first analysis show that short-term economic growth effect of consolidation seems weak, while long- term effect is projected substantially high. The results of the second analysis show that economies of scale by population increase only affect short-term economic growth of consolidated regions. However these effects will diminish in long-term, and for long-term economic growth, the size of firms, income, local government finances are more important.

키워드