사회보험료 지원사업(두루누리 사업)의 효과: 현대 성과평가론의 적용

초록

This paper evaluates effects of the Duru-Nuri Program (a social insurances subsidy program of the Korean government for low-wage workers) on a worker’s probability to join the national employment insurance (EI) and national pension system (NPS), and employment. Estimates using the difference-in-differences method suggest that its pilot program increased the number of the EI subscribers by 2.4% and that of the NPS subscribers by 3.1%, while it failed to affect employment. The main program implemented from July 2012 increased the number of the EI subscribers by 2.68% and that of the NPS subscribers by 2.04%, while it had no effect on employment. The Duru-Nuri Program is unique in that it has adopted an experimental design of the modern program evaluation literature, making possible a scientific evaluation of the performance of the program and offering a good guideline for the design of micro-level programs of the government.

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