도시공간 특성에 따른 인구소멸 위험과 미분양이 지역 주택가격에 미치는 영향

초록

This study empirically analyzed the complex impacts of population extinction (in terms of demand), unsold housings (in terms of supply), and characteristics of urban space on regional housing markets based on the spatial hedonic price model. The main results are as follows. First, unsoldhousings occurring in the metropolitan area turned out to have a significantly negative effect on regional housing markets compared with the non-metropolitan area. Second, It was found that the higher population extinction is, the more the negative impact has on housing markets of thenon-metropolitan area. Measures from different perspectives for raising the working-age population on the non-metropolitan area could help housing markets on the non-metropolitan area stable. Third, in particular, the extinction risk turned out to be likely to accelerate the downturn inhousing markets in the non-metropolitan area compared with the metropolitan area. As a result, this study demonstrated that unsold housings in the metropolitan area in order not to increase anxiety over housing markets should be managed and integrated policies for population and housing on the non-metropolitan area should also be strengthened.

키워드