ScholarWorks@중앙대학교

초록

The purpose of this study is to predict the 10-year sports health employment market based on BLS model. To achieve that, this study applied the BLS model used for predicting the employment market to the field of sports health. Main research contents were a future total population, a future labor supply size, a rate of employment, and a future labor demand size. Data were collected from Statistics Korea, Korean Educational Statistics Service, and Korean Standard Statistical Classification. According to the analysis procedure of BLS model, the future 10-year employment market in the field of sports health was predicted. As a result, firstly, it was predicted that from 2018 to 2018, the future total population would increase about 2.36%, the total school-age population would decrease about 28.6%, the total working age population would decrease about 7.95%, and the total fertility rate would increase about 0.08%. Secondly, the future labor supply size from 2018 to 2028 was predicted to decrease about 26.35%. Thirdly, in terms of the rate of employment related to sports health from 2018 to 2028, it was predicted that the traditional sports field would increase 44.8%, the IT field would increase 77.3%, and the health field would increase 142.0%. Fourthly, comprehensively, the labor demand size in the smart sports health industry from 2018 to 2028 was predicted to increase about 74.6%. Such research results can be considered results that grasp the demands of work sites and that improve integrated professional manpower training and further, they can be used as grounds for academic integration with other fields.

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