한-중 컨테이너항만 수출입물동량의 구조적 변화에 관한 연구

초록

With the progress of Korea-China economic relations, the container trade volume between the two countries has been steadily increasing during last several decades. The trends of container cargo volume between international ports are an important factor for port and logistics companies as well as port authorities. Development of container cargo volume is closely related to the competitiveness of port, on the other hands port competitiveness is one of the most significant determinants for movement of cargo volume. Therefore, structural volatility analysis of port throughput flow between country’s ports is an important issue in port logistics research. This study aims to present the implications for port operation and policy by analyzing the trends of structural volatility of container trade volume between Korea and China during 2003∼2017. For this purpose, it is analyzed the volatility and trends of the container trade volume between ports of the two countries. Several analysis methods such as HHI index, shift-share analysis and location quotient are employed for the BCG matrix analysis, which present the port strategies for attracting container cargoes for Korean container ports. According to the results of the research, the concentration of container cargo from Chinese ports to Korean ports has gradually decreased. Most of Chinese ports as supplying sources of container cargo for Busan, Incheon and Gwangyang port have a high relative proportion (LQ coefficient) in large ports and a high growth rate (shift-share effects). On the other hand, the port of Incheon has a high proportion of the container cargo and growth rate in Chinese ports with geographical proximity in addition to scale of port.

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