Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model with an Application to House Price Returns

초록

This article studies quantile regression in an autoregressive dynamic framework with exogenous stationary covariates. We demonstrate the potential of the quantile autoregressive distributed lag model with an application to house price returns in the United Kingdom. The results show that house price returns present a heterogeneous autoregressive behaviour across the quantiles. Real GDP growth and interest rates also have an asymmetric impact on house prices variations. © Blackwell Publishing Ltd and the Department of Economics, University of Oxford 2011.