북극항로 활용관점에서의 아시아 주요 항만 경쟁력 연구

초록

Purpose : Due to global warming, the sea ice area has been reduced in recent 20-30 years, and this trend seems to be accelerated in the future. The NSR(Northern Sea Route), therefore, is expected to be commercialized in 15 years. This research assumed NSR is commercialized and compared the competitiveness of 6 major ports according to characteristics of those ports. Research design, data, methodology : Port competitiveness is evaluated by AHP analysis, and 10 factors(distance of NSR, saving time on the NSR, icebreaking vessel retained quantity, port efficiency, size of terminals, depth of water, container cargo volume by port, container cargo volume by country, port liner shipping connectivity index, liner shipping bilateral connectivity index(EU-ASIA)) are used for the analysis. Especially, port efficiency is analysed by DEA-CCR, DEA-BCC, SE model. Results and Conclusions : As a result of the analysis, the weight of saving time on the NSR was the highest, followed by the icebreaking vessel and the distance of the NSR. When the port competitiveness was evaluated based on this, Shanghai Port was evaluated as the most competitive port, and the port competitiveness was evaluated in the order of Busan Port, Tokyo Port, Hong Kong Port, and Kaohsiung Port. The ports of Korea, China, and Japan, which are countries that are interested in NSR’s and actively participate in the development of the NSR, and have obtained permanent observer qualifications from the Arctic Council, were evaluated as having relatively high competitiveness.

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