Predicting atrial fibrillation and flutter using BEHRT and identifying multimorbidity patterns using BERTopic
  • Bae, Sookyung
  • Kim, Yeonjae
  • Park, Samina
  • Kim, Hwiyoung
  • Park, Bomi
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초록

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation and flutter are heart rhythm disorders frequently associated with multiple other chronic conditions, complicating their management and requiring optimized care. Analyzing pre-atrial fibrillation and flutter comorbidity patterns could enable proactive, preventive, and personalized healthcare.Methods: This population-based nested case-control study analyzed data from the Korean National Health Insurance Corporation (2002–2019). Adults aged ≥19 years with at least three years of recorded claims were included. Cases were individuals newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation and flutter between 2007 and 2019 following a washout period (2002–2006). Controls were matched 1:4 using stratified random sampling. Using 5-year disease histories, BEHRT, a transformer-based model, predicted atrial fibrillation and flutter, while BERTopic identified sex-specific multimorbidity patterns. Predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).Results: BEHRT achieved an AUC of 0.80 for predicting atrial fibrillation and flutter among 600,030 participants (8,661 cases and 591,369 controls). BERTopic analysis revealed sex-specific multimorbidity patterns: aortic aneurysm, hypertensive heart disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were common in males, while Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, and rheumatic heart disease were prominent in females.Discussion: The combination of BEHRT and BERTopic demonstrated the ability to predict atrial fibrillation and flutter based on multimorbid histories while identifying distinct sex-specific disease patterns. These findings underscore the potential for artificial intelligence to enhance personalized healthcare and optimize prevention and management strategies for chronic conditions.

키워드

atrial fibrillation and flutterBEHRTBERTopicdeep learningmultimorbidityGASTROESOPHAGEAL-REFLUX DISEASEHEALTHRISK
제목
Predicting atrial fibrillation and flutter using BEHRT and identifying multimorbidity patterns using BERTopic
저자
Bae, SookyungKim, YeonjaePark, SaminaKim, HwiyoungPark, Bomi
DOI
10.3389/fdgth.2026.1722338
발행일
2026-02
유형
Article
저널명
FRONTIERS IN DIGITAL HEALTH
8

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